Lugia

Holo Rare · vintage

← Neo Genesis

Fair value (PSA 10)

$38.5K

MeasuredHigh · 74%

30-day momentum

+2.80%

vs set: +1.8% · vs market: +1.4%

Liquidity

Spread 6.0% · vol 16%

Supply pressure

Listing v 10 · sales v 7

All grades

Each row is one grade. Fair value, 30-day momentum, liquidity, and per-grade methodology version.

Grader	Grade	Fair value	30d	Liquidity	Comp confidence
PSA	10	$38.5K	+2.80%	36	High · 74%

Vintage backcast (1999 → 2021)

Backcast

Pre-2022 values modeled by GPT-5 from landmark sales, pop snapshots, narrative context, and CPI normalization. Always shown separately from measured data — never blended into the same trace.

Year	Low	Base	High	Confidence
2001	$18.00	$25.00	$40.00	Low · 40%
2005	$85.00	$120	$180	Low · 45%
2010	$400	$550	$750	Low · 50%
2015	$1.7K	$2.4K	$3.4K	Moderate · 55%
2018	$5.5K	$7.5K	$10.5K	Moderate · 60%
2020	$16.0K	$22.0K	$30.0K	Moderate · 66%
2021	$28.0K	$38.0K	$50.0K	Moderate · 70%

Reproducibility: model gpt-5-2026-q1 · prompt hash stub-prompt-hash-v1 · methodology v2026.04.0