Charizard

Holo Rare · vintage

← Base Set

Fair value (PSA 10)

$384K

MeasuredHigh · 78%

30-day momentum

+3.80%

vs set: +2.2% · vs market: +1.8%

Liquidity

Spread 6.0% · vol 18%

Supply pressure

Listing v 8 · sales v 4

All grades

Each row is one grade. Fair value, 30-day momentum, liquidity, and per-grade methodology version.

Grader	Grade	Fair value	30d	Liquidity	Comp confidence
PSA	10	$384K	+3.80%	32	High · 78%
PSA	9	$28.5K	+2.40%	55	Very high · 86%

Vintage backcast (1999 → 2021)

Backcast

Pre-2022 values modeled by GPT-5 from landmark sales, pop snapshots, narrative context, and CPI normalization. Always shown separately from measured data — never blended into the same trace.

Year	Low	Base	High	Confidence
1999	$25.00	$35.00	$60.00	Low · 40%
2000	$40.00	$60.00	$90.00	Low · 42%
2002	$55.00	$80.00	$120	Low · 42%
2005	$180	$250	$350	Low · 45%
2010	$600	$850	$1.2K	Low · 50%
2015	$2.5K	$3.5K	$5.0K	Moderate · 55%
2018	$7.5K	$9.5K	$12.5K	Moderate · 60%
2019	$14.0K	$18.0K	$23.0K	Moderate · 62%
2020	$55.0K	$75.0K	$95.0K	Moderate · 66%
2021	$300K	$380K	$480K	Moderate · 70%

Reproducibility: model gpt-5-2026-q1 · prompt hash stub-prompt-hash-v1 · methodology v2026.04.0